Table 2

HRs and 95% CIs of cardiovascular disease (CVD) for ECG abnormalities in Code4 and 5 at study entry

Minnesota CodeAt entryNo. at riskStrokeCoronary heart diseaseTotal CVD
Code4No9620Cases908 (reference)307 (reference)1191 (reference)
Minor1086Cases14045181
Age-adjusted and gender-adjusted HR (model 1)1.44 (1.20–1.72)***1.47 (1.07–2.02)*1.45 (1.24–1.70)***
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 2)1.19 (0.99–1.43)1.23 (0.89–1.71)1.21 (1.03–1.42)*
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 3)1.16 (0.96–1.39)1.21 (0.87–1.67)1.18 (1.01–1.39)*
Major350Cases772296
Age-adjusted and gender-adjusted HR (model 1)2.49 (1.97–3.15)***2.30 (1.49–3.56)***2.46 (1.99–3.03)***
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 2)1.70 (1.33–2.16)***1.61 (1.03–2.54)*1.69 (1.36–2.10)***
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 3)1.57 (1.22–2.02)***1.47 (0.93–2.34)1.57 (1.26–1.96)***
Code5No9733Cases924 (reference)297 (reference)1194 (reference)
Minor1014Cases13752188
Age-adjusted and gender-adjusted HR (model 1)1.43 (1.19–1.71)***1.81 (1.34–2.44)***1.56 (1.33–1.82)***
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 2)1.12 (0.93–1.35)1.50 (1.10–2.04)**1.25 (1.06–1.46)**
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 3)1.08 (0.90–1.30)1.48 (1.09–2.02)*1.21 (1.03–1.42)*
Major309Cases642586
Age-adjusted and gender-adjusted HR (model 1)2.54 (1.97–3.28)***3.53 (2.33–5.33)***2.76 (2.21–3.45)***
Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 2)1.96 (1.51–2.54)***2.76 (1.81–4.22)***2.16 (1.72–2.70)***
  Multivariate-adjusted HR (model 3)1.90 (1.46–2.47)***2.65 (1.73–4.06)***2.10 (1.67–2.63)***
  • Model 2: covariates were age, gender, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication, body mass index, smoking category (never, past or current smokers), alcohol intake category (never, past, current <46, current ≥46 g/day), serum total cholesterol and diabetic type.

  • Model 3: covariates comprised model 2 plus other ECG abnormalities (high R-wave, ventricular premature beats, atrial fibrillation) at study entry.

  • *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.